Politics Odds: Biden Takes Lead as Trump Tumbles . The race isn’t over by any means, but recent events have definitely cut into Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2020 US presidential election. A slim favorite just a month ago, Trump is now a +115 underdog at Bovada SportsBook. Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden is the –130 favorite @ Bovada , riding a wave of “Joe-mentum” that is largely of Trump’s own making.
Trump’s 2020 Chances Are Sinking He defied the Betting odds in 2016, but Donald Trump is trending in the wrong direction for 2020. Over the past month, Trump has fallen from a slight favorite to a +115 underdog to win November’s US presidential election; Joe Biden is the –130 favorite at press time. Bet on politics at Bovada and get a free 50% bonus.
Trump’s popularity rating (roughly 41% coming out of the weekend) wouldn’t suggest he has a chance of winning this November; the Democrats are heavily favored at –625 betting odds to win the popular vote. However, Trump and the Republican Party didn’t win the majority of votes in 2016, and four years later, his base in the “red states” is still large enough to pose a serious threat.
Trump also has the advantage that comes with being the incumbent. There are many ways he and his Republican cohorts can push November’s election in their favor, especially with the help of outside forces. But the COVID-19 pandemic and Black Lives Matter movement have taken the wind out of Trump’s sails for now. Saturday’s GOP rally in Tulsa was sparsely attended, and several high-profile Republicans – including Colin Powell – say they’ll vote for Biden.